US Public on Global Warming: Been There, Done That, No Big Issue

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This week brought a new Gallup poll of US public opinion on global warmingโ€”and the only good news is that nothing has gotten any worse. Still, it staggers the mind to contemplate just how big the gap is between what scientists think about the issue, and what the publicย thinks.

Public concern about climate change, Gallup reports, is โ€œstable at lower levelsโ€โ€”just 51 percent say they worry significantly about global warming, down from 66 percent in 2007. If you donโ€™t think that the rise of an ever-more-assured climate denialism in Congress is tied to those numbers, you donโ€™t knowย politics.

As usual, the latest survey also underscores the depth of the partisan divide on the climate issue.ย Democrats are 40 percentage points more likely to worry about global warming than Republicans, and 35 percentage points more likely to agree with scientists that global warming is human caused. Republicans, meanwhile, are 45 percentage points more likely to claim global warming is exaggerated in the news.ย Lovely.

The most staggering finding from Gallup, though, is that in one areaโ€”and one area aloneโ€”weโ€™re making what you might (very ironically) call โ€œprogress.โ€ As time passes, Americans are professing to know more about, and better understand, the climate issue. Weโ€™ve gone โ€œfrom 69% saying they understand the issue โ€œvery wellโ€ or โ€œfairly wellโ€ in 2001, to 74% in 2006 and 80% in the current poll,โ€ Gallupย reports.

This has got to be the scariest finding of all. People are now saying theyโ€™re very familiar with the climate issue, very confident that they understand it. Yet the data about their opinions overwhelmingly shows they misunderstand it in largeย numbers.

In other words, we have a public that is quite comfortable in its misguided viewsโ€”and therefore, one presumes, fairly unlikely to change them. And once again, this is mirrored in Congress, where Republicans donโ€™t necessarily even feel they need present a โ€œdebateโ€ any more about climate science. They now take it as rendered that itโ€™s all bunkum

Is there anything to feel good about in here? As far as I can tell, just this: Summer is coming. People definitely care more about global warming when itโ€™s hot outside, and if thereโ€™s going to be any public opinion shift, thatโ€™s when itโ€™s likely to come. Not a lot to pin hopes on, but, wellโ€ฆletโ€™s just say Iโ€™m calibrating my hopefulness to the overall bleakness of the public opinionย picture.

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