There has been a flurry of coverage in the last few days of a High Court decision in the U.K that, the deniers would have us believe, condemns Al Gore’s film, An Inconvenient Truth, as โexaggeratedโ andย โalarmist.
Read fairly, however, the judgment endorses the film for its general accuracy, exonerates school officials for their decision to show it in U.K. classrooms and approves of its continued distribution with a slightly amended โGuidanceย Note.โ
Justice Michael Burton acknowledges in the early stages of his decision that Al Gore is โa talented politician and communicator,โ who uses science โ to make a political statement and to support a political programme.โ But of the film, Justice Burton says, โIt is substantially founded upon scientific research andย fact.โ
Justice Burton says, โI have no doubt that Dr. Stott, the Defendantโs expert, is right when he says that: โAl Goreโs presentation of the causes and likely effects of climate change in the film was broadlyย accurate.โ
Then he quotes Martin Chamberlain, the lawyer for the defendant (The Secretary of State for Education and Skills), who says, โThe position is that the central scientific theme of Al Goreโs Film is now accepted by the overwhelming majority of the worldโs scientific community.โ Justice Burton then adds that โFor the purposes of this hearing, Mr. (Paul) Downes (lawyer for the plaintiff) was prepared to accept that the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report represented the present scientificย consensus.โ
So, everyone agrees that the science is solid and that Al Gore, while quotable and agenda-driven (he wants us to do something about climate change) sticks pretty close to theย facts.
Still, regardless that his lawyer conceded the science, Stewart Dimmock, the U.K. bus driver who somehow rustled up 60,000 quid to take this issue to court, did so in hopes that Justice Burton would have the film pulled from the school system. Dimmock argued either that An Inconvenient Truth (AIT) should be censored or, in the judge’s words, โthat, if the political issues, as per the content of AIT, are to be brought to the attention of pupils, then there must be an equivalent and equal presentation of counter-balancing views.โ Presumably, Dimmock would champion the broadcast of something like the wholly discredited Great Global Warming Swindle.
Justice Burton disagreed, in the most whitheringย way:
โThere is nothing to prevent (to take an extreme case) there being a strong preference for a theory โ if it were a political one โ that the moon is not made out of green cheese, and hence a minimal, but dispassionate, reference to the alternative theory. The balanced approach does not involve equality. In my judgment, the word โbalancedโ in s407 (in the relevant U.K. legislation) means nothing more than fair andย dispassionate.โย
It might be a stretch to suggest that Justice Burton was grouping climate change deniers with people who believe the moon is made of green cheese – but not a bigย stretch.
As for the dreaded โerrorsโ exposed by this case, Justice Burton notes: โMr. Downes produced a long schedule of such alleged errors or exaggerations and waxed lyrical in thatย regard.โ
Again, it’s hard to suggest a perfect analysis of what the good judge meant when he said, โwaxed lyrical,โ but it doesn’t appear to imply that the plaintiff’s barrister contained himself to a strict analysis of theย facts.
Justice Burton,on the other hand, visits those facts with care, beginning in his Paragraph 23. At his most critical, he says Gore was โdistinctly alarmistโ in predicting the collapse of the Greenland glacier: โthe Armageddon scenario he predicts, insofar as it suggests that sea level rises of 7 metres might occur in the immediate future, is not in line with the scientific consensus,โ Justice Burton concludes. Other โerrors,โ such as Gore’s contention that Hurricane Katrina was whipped up by climate change, elicit this kind of a response: โIt is common ground that there is insufficient evidence to showย that.โ
It turns out that Al Gore, in the interest of making an interesting and compelling movie, spoke more boldly on nine occasions than would the authors of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Accordingly, and to ensure that Mr. Dimmock’s children do not wind up as confused as he plainly is, the judge has recommended a revision to the Guidance Note that U.K. teachers had already received with the film. Much of that note is also reproduced in the judgment, and it includes sections such asย this:
โNote: Pupils might get the impression that sea-level rises of up to 7m (caused by the complete melting of Greenland or half of Greenland and half of the West Antarctic shelf) could happen in the next decades. The IPCC predicts that it would take millennia for rises of that magnitude to occur. However, pupils should be aware that even small rises in sea level are predicted to have very serious effects. The IPCC says that โmany millions more people are projected to be flooded every year due to sea-level rise by the 2080sโ (i.e. within pupils’ own lifetimes).โ
In other words, we think Uncle Al overstated himself, but we still recommend that you all think twice before buyingย waterfront.
No matter how you read this judgment, it is a convincing victory for Gore and his movie. Justice Burton finds that Gore exaggerated for effect – and to good effect, but that, given appropriate teacher guidance (and contrary to the wishes of Dimmock, et al), the film is appropriate for studentย viewing.
The newspaper editors who are trying to present this as somehow not the case, are deluding themselves and misleading theirย readers.ย
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