David Rose

David Rose

Credentials

Background

David Rose is a British author and journalist who has published a wide range of articles challenging man-made climate change, frequently citing material and reports from the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) and global warming skeptics such as Judith Curry, and Benny Peiser, of the GWPF.

Rose has repeatedly suggested the disputed theory that there has been a global warming โ€œpause,โ€ and has previously suggested Britain may experience another ice age. Skeptical Science has described Rose as a โ€œleading purveyor of the myth.โ€2David Rose. โ€œForget global warming – it’s Cycle 25 we need to worry about (and if NASA scientists are right the Thames will be freezing over again),โ€ The Mail on Sunday, January 29, 2012. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/kLeLE 3David Rose. โ€œGlobal warming ‘pause’ may last for 20 more years and Arctic sea ice has already started to recover,โ€ Mail on Sunday, November 2, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/6aFHE 4โ€œGlobal warming not slowing – it’s speeding up,โ€ SkepticalScience, March 12, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/JcHw9 5โ€œDavid Rose Hides the Rise in Global Warming,โ€ SkepticalScience, March 19, 2013. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/zOqCS

Davis Rose‘s first job was as a reporter with the London magazine Time Out (1981 – 1984), and his since worked with a range of papers and magazines including The Guardian (which has itself since published critiques of Rose’s articles at the Mail on Sunday), The Observer, and BBC Current affairs TV. Rose became a freelance writer in 2000, later a contributing editor of Vanity Fair in 2002, and in 2008 a special investigations writer for the Mail on Sunday.6โ€œDavid Rose: writer and journalist,โ€ LinkedIn. Archived .pdf on file at DeSmog. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/XU3i4 7โ€œDavid Rose,โ€ Vanity Fair, August, 2011. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/pvdWb

Writing in the New Statesman, Rose described his work with British intelligence disseminating what he described as โ€œsheer disinformation.โ€ According to Rose, if he was told something by the secret service and it proved to be false, โ€œthere would be no comeback, no accountability. I could put up, or shut up.โ€ He also added โ€œTo my everlasting regret, I strongly supported the Iraq invasion, in person and in print.โ€8โ€œSpies and their lies,โ€ New Statesman, September 27, 2007. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/gQReq

DeSmog previously reported on David Rose’s โ€œmisinformation legacy,โ€ pointing to an article by The Guardian’s George Monbiot who summed up Rose’s errors over time. Monbiot also wrote of Rose’s potential role in the Iraq war, noting that The Observer โ€œwas strongly influenced by Rose’s reportingโ€ at the time. โ€œRose’s articles for the paper uncritically reported the claims made by Ahmed Chalabi and the Iraqi National Congress about Saddam Hussein’s alleged weapons of mass destruction. Chalabi later admitted that they were incorrect,โ€ Monbiot wrote.9Kevin Grandia. โ€œDavid Rose’s Misinformation Legacy from WMD to Climate Change,โ€ DeSmog, September 17, 2013. 10George Monbiot. โ€œDavid Rose’s climate science writing shows he has not learned from previous mistakes,โ€ The Guardian, December 8, 2010. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/7lQfN

โ€œSince the Iraq debacle, Rose has latterly been writing articles attacking climate science for the Daily Mail. He has distinguished himself by the same uncritical reliance on dodgy sources that caused his catastrophic mistakes about Iraq,โ€ Monbiot added.

In 2013, Media Matters named Rose’s publication, the Daily Mail โ€œ2013 Climate Change Misinformer of the Yearโ€ for its stirring up of โ€œfaux controversies about climate science.โ€ In 2014, Greenpeace made an official release noting that David Rose is โ€œnot a credible source.โ€11Shauna Theel and Denise Robbins. โ€œClimate Change Misinformer Of The Year: The Daily Mail,โ€ Media Matters, December 30, 2013. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/mGwm3 12โ€œDavid Rose is not a credible source – OFFICIAL,โ€ Greenpeace, July 24, 2014. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/mINOW

David Rose & the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF)

David Rose has described himself as a โ€œFriendโ€ of the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF), a group that has promoted climate science denial and argued against emissions reduction policies:13โ€œ@LeoHickman @ret_ward @mattwridley I’m not sensitive at all. I’m proud to be friends with GWPF, but I’m not their PR. But this is juvenile!โ€ Twitter post by user @DavidRoseUK, April 4, 2014 and 1:46 AM.

David Rose GWPF

Stance on Climate Change

January 2015

โ€œ[T]here is little doubt that the rapid warming of the 1980s and early 1990s has slowed โ€“ although greenhouse gas emissions have surged.

[โ€ฆ] Dr David Whitehouse, of the Global Warming Policy Forum, said โ€˜there has been no statistically significant warming trend since 1997โ€™ โ€“ because the entire increase over this period was smaller than the error margin.โ€14David Rose. โ€œNasa climate scientists: We said 2014 was the warmest year on recordโ€ฆ but we’re only 38% sure we were,โ€ Mail on Sunday, January 19, 2015. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/TNyUO

November 2013

โ€œThe 17-year pause in global warming is likely to last into the 2030s and the Arctic sea ice has already started to recover. [โ€ฆ] The pause means there has been no statistically significant increase in world average surface temperatures since the beginning of 1997, despite the modelsโ€™ projection of a steeply rising trend.โ€15David Rose. โ€œGlobal warming ‘pause’ may last for 20 more years and Arctic sea ice has already started to recover,โ€ Mail on Sunday, November 2, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/6aFHE

March 2013

โ€œNo, the world ISN’T getting warmer (as you may have noticed). Now we reveal the official data that’s making scientists suddenly change their minds about climate doom. So will eco-funded MPs stop waging a green crusade with your money? Wellโ€ฆ what do YOU think?โ€16David Rose. โ€œThe Great Green Con no. 1: The hard proof that finally shows global warming forecasts that are costing you billions were WRONG all along,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, March 16, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/xkHQa

January 2012

โ€œThe supposed โ€˜consensusโ€™ on man-made global warming is facing an inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.

The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the Thames in the 17th Century.โ€17David Rose. โ€œForget global warming – it’s Cycle 25 we need to worry about (and if NASA scientists are right the Thames will be freezing over again),โ€ The Mail on Sunday, January 29, 2012. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/kLeLE

July 2011

โ€œ[T]he world temperature trend since 1995 has been flat, with no evidence of warming at all.โ€18David Rose. โ€œWhy we should give the cold shoulder to a BBC Trust Review that argues the broadcaster should ignore global-warming ‘deniersโ€™,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, July 24, 2011. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/qws1D

Key Quotes

November 16, 2017

On Twitter, Rose admited doubt on the โ€œpromised shale gas bonanzaโ€ in the UK. Rose was responding to a Twitter comment by โ€œBishop Hillโ€ critical of a recent Financial Post article on Blackpool for failing to mention recent drilling by the shale gas firm Quadrilla:19โ€œWell, right now the promised shale gas bonanza looks more distant than sustainable power from nuclear fusion, so arguably not [โ€ฆ]โ€ Twitter post by @DavidRoseUK, November 16, 2017. Archived .pdf on file at DeSmog.

November 2016

โ€œGlobal average temperatures over land have plummeted by more than 1C since the middle of this year โ€“ their biggest and steepest fall on record,โ€ Rose writes. โ€ The fall, revealed by Nasa satellite measurements of the lower atmosphere, has been caused by the end of El Nino โ€“ the warming of surface waters in a vast area of the Pacific west of Central America.โ€20โ€œStunning new data indicates El Nino drove record highs in global temperatures suggesting rise may not be down to man-made emissions,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, November 26, 2016. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/jWiS2

September 2013

โ€œThe [global warming] pause โ€“ which has now been accepted as real by every major climate research centre โ€“ is important, because the modelsโ€™ predictions of ever-increasing global temperatures have made many of the worldโ€™s economies divert billions of pounds into โ€˜greenโ€™ measures to counter climate change.โ€21David Rose. โ€œAnd now it’s global COOLING! Return of Arctic ice cap as it grows by 29% in a year,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, September 8, 2013. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/uHN97

January 6, 2013

โ€œThe stupidest international agreement since the Treaty of Versailles expired at midnight on New Yearโ€™s Eve. Fifteen years after its launch, the Kyoto Protocol to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change died a miserable failure. Few are likely to mourn.โ€22David Rose. โ€œWhy IS Britain about to pay ยฃ110billion to enter a new Dark Age? A damning indictment of the new ‘Green-friendly’ Energy Bill,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, January 6, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/LiKn4

January 9, 2010

โ€œThe bitter winter afflicting much of the Northern Hemisphere is only the start of a global trend towards cooler weather that is likely to last for 20 or 30 years, say some of the worldโ€™s most eminent climate scientists.

Their predictions โ€“ based on an analysis of natural cycles in water temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans โ€“ challenge some of the global warming orthodoxyโ€™s most deeply cherished beliefs, such as the claim that the North Pole will be free of ice in summer by 2013.โ€23David Rose. โ€œThe mini ice age starts here,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, January 9, 2010. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/0ITly

Key Actions

December 15, 2020

In an article for The Spectator, Rose criticised the aims of Extinction Rebellion, writing that they โ€œhave declared war on modernity.โ€ Rose added:24David Rose. โ€œRevealed: Extinction Rebellionโ€™s plan to exploit the Covid crisis,โ€ The Spectator, April 4, 2020. Archived December 15, 2020. Archive.vn URL: https://archive.vn/2OYxA

โ€œThe virusโ€™s leap from animals to humans at a Wuhan wet market has nothing to do with global warming, but XR thinks the pandemic is Gaiaโ€™s punishment for our profligate, consumerist lifestyles.โ€

August 22, 2020

Rose wrote an article for The Daily Mail criticising measures taken by city councils across the country to install cycle lanes and make roads narrower to disincentivise the use of motor vehicles. He argued that these measures were counterintuitive, stating: โ€œthe result is that journeys that now take a few minutes will be much longer โ€“ and, ironically, considering this is part of a drive to make us more green, they will produce more exhaust emissions.โ€25David Rose. โ€œHow eco-warriors are using Covid as an excuse to drive cars off the road: Councils are closing roads and creating more cycle lanes, piling new agony on shopsโ€ฆ all under the guise of saving us from the virus,โ€ The Daily Mail, August 22, 2020. Archived February 1, 2021. Archive.vn URL: https://archive.vn/nPGXm

December 29, 2018

David Rose contributed a piece for The Mail on Sunday with the title โ€œWhy all you’ve been told about these polar bears could be WRONG.โ€ The story cites anecdotal reports from a single Inuit village on the Western shores of Hudson Bay in Canada to refute the widely held belief that climate change poses an existential threat to the animals.26David Rose. โ€œWhy all you’ve been told about these polar bears could be WRONG,โ€ The Daily Mail. December 29, 2018. Archived January 4, 2019. Archive.is URL: http://archive.vn/Fqt0w

Rose was told of increased sightings of the bears and more frequent interactions with villagers, including one fatal attack on an Inuit hunter. After visiting the remote village, Rose concluded that reports of dwindling numbers of polar bears and declining health in remaining animals due to climate change were overstated:

โ€œActivists claim that polar bears are โ€˜the canary in the coalmineโ€™ that proves how dangerous climate change is, not only to bears but humans. But what if they chose the wrong species? And if the scientists are wrong about the bears, will it be only the Inuit who become more skeptical?โ€27David Rose. โ€œWhy all you’ve been told about these polar bears could be WRONG,โ€ The Daily Mail. December 29, 2018. Archived January 4, 2019. Archive.is URL: http://archive.vn/Fqt0w

However, he also quoted a representative of Polar Bears International (PBI) who presented the prevailing viewpoint held by scientists and conservationists:

โ€œAccording to PBIโ€™s conservation director, Geoff York, โ€˜what weโ€™re seeing across the Arctic as sea ice recedes is that more polar bears are spending time on shoreโ€ฆ It is creating that perfect storm of potential for human-bear conflictโ€™.โ€28David Rose. โ€œWhy all you’ve been told about these polar bears could be WRONG,โ€ The Daily Mail. December 29, 2018. Archived January 4, 2019. Archive.is URL: http://archive.vn/Fqt0w

Other reporting reinforces the conclusion that polar bears spend more time around human settlements on land due to later freezing and earlier thawing of sea ice, increasing the likelihood of sightings and interactions.29Chelsea Harvey. โ€œNext up from climate change: More polar bears on land, potentially running into humans,โ€ The Washington Post. November 18, 2015. Archived January 4, 2019. Archive.is URL: http://archive.vn/pPAze

February 4, 2017

David Rose published a piece in The Mail on Sunday titled โ€œExposed: How world leaders were duped into investing billions over manipulated global warming data.โ€ In the article, Rose claimed to reveal โ€œastonishing evidence that the organisation that is the worldโ€™s leading source of climate data rushed to publish a landmark paper that exaggerated global warming and was timed to influence the historic Paris Agreement on climate change.โ€30โ€œExposed: How world leaders were duped into investing billions over manipulated global warming data,โ€ The Daily Mail, February 4, 2017. Archived February 5, 2017.

The article, which was shared in a number of mainstream media outlets including The Times, Fox News, and even referenced in US Congress by Representative Lamar Smith. As DeSmog UK reported, the Mail on Sunday was forced to publish a correction for Rose’s article after the Independent Press Standards Organisation (IPSO) ruled that the Mail on Sunday had โ€œfailed to take care over the accuracy of the articleโ€ and โ€œhad then failed to correct these significantly misleading statements.โ€31Matt Ridley. โ€œPolitics and science are a toxic combination,โ€ The Times, February 6, 2017. 32โ€œFederal scientist cooked climate change books ahead of Obama presentation, whistle blower charges,โ€ Fox News, February 7, 2017. Archived September 18, 2017. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/pG09i 33Chris D’Angelo. โ€œRep. Lamar Smith Tried To Make A Big Deal Out Of A Fake Climate Scandal,โ€ HuffPost, February 7, 2017. Archived September 18, 2017. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/P4huZ 34Mat Hope. โ€œFake News: Mail on Sunday Forced to Correct โ€˜Significantly Misleadingโ€™ Article on Global Warming โ€˜Pauseโ€™,โ€ DeSmog UK, September 18, 2017.

The ruling is now published above the original article at the Mail on Sundayโ€™s website. IPSO said that โ€œthe newspaperโ€™s claims that Dr Batesโ€™ testimony had provided โ€˜irrefutable evidenceโ€™ that the paper had been based on โ€˜misleading, โ€˜unverifiedโ€™ dataโ€™โ€™, leading โ€“ as the headline claimed โ€“ to world leaders being โ€˜dupedโ€™ over global warming, and โ€˜convincedโ€™ to invest billions in climate change, went much further than the concerns which Dr Bates had detailed in his blog or in the interview.โ€35โ€œ01032-17 Ward v The Mail on Sunday,โ€ IPSO. Archived September 18, 2017. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/VQVGd 36โ€œExposed: How world leaders were duped into investing billions over manipulated global warming data,โ€ The Daily Mail, February 4, 2017. Archived September 18, 2017. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/VQVGd

The ruling added that the article โ€œdid not represent criticisms of the data collection processโ€ but had instead taken as โ€œassertions of fact that the data had been demonstrated conclusively to be wrong and had a significant impact on the decision making of world leaders, with an additional implication this had been part of a wilful attempt to deceive.โ€37โ€œ01032-17 Ward v The Mail on Sunday,โ€ IPSO. Archived September 18, 2017. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/VQVGd

Bates himself clarified his account, which appears to be different than David Rose’s portrayal. Speaking with E&E News, as reported by The New York Times:38โ€œNo Data Manipulation in 2015 Climate Study, Researchers Say,โ€ New York Times, February 7, 2017. Archived September 18, 2017. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/OQ1FI

โ€œThe issue here is not an issue of tampering with data, but rather really of timing of a release of a paper that had not properly disclosed everything it was,โ€ Bates said.39โ€œNo Data Manipulation in 2015 Climate Study, Researchers Say,โ€ New York Times, February 7, 2017. Archived September 18, 2017. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/OQ1FI

February 2017

David Rose writes an โ€œexclusiveโ€ for the Mail on Sunday making a number of inflammator claims about the background to a scientific paper, published in the journal Science, which updated global temperature data to account for changes in the way ocean temperature measurements were taken.

In summary, Rose’s story claimed a โ€œwhistleblowerโ€, retired National Oceanic and Atmsopheric Administration scientist John Bates, had revealed that the paper, led by his former superior Tom Karl, had been rushed, used flawed data and had been politically motivated. Further, the story claimed that this single paper had โ€œstrongly influencedโ€ that climate negotiations in Paris in late 2015. Rose’s story was based heavily on a guest blog post, written by Bates, on the blog of contrarian scientist Judith Curry.

Scientists and other journalists discovered several major flaws in the story. Climate Home spoke to several UN climate negotiators, who explained the Karl paper had no influence on the Paris talks. A factcheck at Carbon Brief by Berkeley Earth climate scientist Zeke Hausfather showed how Rose had ignored other scientific articles which had confirmed the work done by Karl et al. The claim that the Karl paper was โ€œrushedโ€ was refuted by the editor of Science, who revealed that in fact that paper had taken longer than usual to go through peer review at the journal.

December 12, 2016

David Rose went on โ€GWPF TVโ€ to speak with climate science denier David Whitehouse on โ€œthe hostile and irrational reactions to his article on the drop in global temperatures since the El Nino โ€˜spikeโ€™ in early 2016.โ€ Video below.40โ€œDAVID WHITEHOUSE & DAVID ROSE DISCUSS REACTIONS TO GLOBAL COOLING POST-EL NINO,โ€ The Global Warming Policy Forum, December 12, 2016. Archived .mp4 on file at DeSmog.

December 11, 2016

Writing at The Mail on Sunday, David Rose cited a Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) report written by Conservative MP Peter Lilley titled โ€œThe Cost of The Climate Change Actโ€ (PDF), claiming that as evidence that โ€œthe radical shift to โ€˜greenโ€™ renewable energy will have cost the economy ยฃ319 billion by 2030 โ€“ three times the annual NHS budget for England.โ€ Peter Lilley is a member of the GWPF’s Board of Trustees and one of only five members to vote against the bill.41David Rose. โ€œHot air: Bombshell report shows green levies backed by government will cost the economy ยฃ319bn by 2030,โ€ Mail on Sunday, December 10, 2016. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/tVErW 42โ€œยฃ300 BILLION: The cost of the Climate Change Actโ€ (PDF), Global Warming Policy Foundation, December, 2016. Archived .pdf on file at DeSmog. 43โ€œClimate Change Bill โ€” Third Reading (and other amendments) โ€” 28 Oct 2008 at 21:58,โ€ The Public Whip. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/MBZIl

Carbon Brief noted that Rose was the first to cover the report in Mail on Sunday, while it was subsequently picked up by a Telegraph editorial, then by Matt Ridley (member of GWPF’s Advisory Board) in theTimes, and finally by the far-right website Breitbart, where James Delingpole used it to argue that climate policy was โ€œpointless.โ€44Simon Evans. โ€œUK Climate Change Act: Understanding the costs and benefits,โ€ Carbon Brief, December 16, 2016. Archived December 19, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/u8tBC 45Leo Hickman. โ€œTelegraph editorial describing LIlley’s report as a ‘study’, rather than a non-peer-reviewed report for climate sceptic lobby group GPWF,โ€ Twitter, December 11, 2016. Archived image on file at DeSmog. 46Matt Ridley. โ€œClimate Change Act has cost us the earth,โ€ The Times, December 12, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/RB3vN 47James Delingpole. โ€œDelingpole: The ยฃ300 Billion Climate Change Act is Costing Britain the Earth,โ€ Breitbart, December 13, 2016. Archived December 19, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/ALd3Y

November 26, 2016

David Rose wrote an article titled โ€œStunning new data indicates El Nino drove record highs in global temperatures suggesting rise may not be down to man-made emissionsโ€ in The Mail on Sunday.48โ€œStunning new data indicates El Nino drove record highs in global temperatures suggesting rise may not be down to man-made emissions,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, November 26, 2016. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/jWiS2

โ€œGlobal average temperatures over land have plummeted by more than 1C since the middle of this year โ€“ their biggest and steepest fall on record,โ€ Rose writes. โ€ The fall, revealed by Nasa satellite measurements of the lower atmosphere, has been caused by the end of El Nino โ€“ the warming of surface waters in a vast area of the Pacific west of Central America.โ€49โ€œStunning new data indicates El Nino drove record highs in global temperatures suggesting rise may not be down to man-made emissions,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, November 26, 2016. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/jWiS2

Rose quotes climate change denier Judith Curry to support his claim that there is a slowdown in global warming. He also points to David Whitehouse of Nigel Lawson‘s Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) to support that claim.50โ€œStunning new data indicates El Nino drove record highs in global temperatures suggesting rise may not be down to man-made emissions,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, November 26, 2016. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/jWiS2

Seven scientists analyzed the article at Climate Feedback, and concluded the article was a โ€œtextbook case of cherry picking,โ€ ignoring limitations on the data it comments on. โ€œThis is akin to claiming that sea level rise has ended because high tide in one area has ebbedโ€ the summary adds.51โ€œAnalysis of ‘Stunning new data indicates El Nino drove record highs in global temperaturesโ€ฆ‘โ€ Climate Feedback. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/p0RGO

โ€œOverall the article is made highly misleading by omitting critical information and cherry-picking one particular dataset and time period. It also incorrectly interprets comments from climate scientists,โ€ Ed Hawkins, Principal Research Fellow at National Centre for Atmospheric Science writes.52โ€œAnalysis of ‘Stunning new data indicates El Nino drove record highs in global temperaturesโ€ฆ‘โ€ Climate Feedback. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/p0RGO

David Rose’s article was mentioned in the far-right website Breitbart where noted climate change denier and journalist James Delingpole wrote that it was evidence that global temperatures had plummeted by one degree Celsius since the middle of the year.โ€ Delingpole added that โ€œthe news has been greeted with an eerie silence by the worldโ€™s alarmist community.โ€53James Delingpole. โ€œGlobal Temperatures Plunge. Icy Silence from Climate Alarmists,โ€ Breitbart, November 30, 2016. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/tek7u

Daily KoS reported that Lamar Smith, Chairman of the US House Science Committee, eventually posted a link to the Breitbart article on Twitter. โ€œDavid Roseโ€™s story doesnโ€™t actually link to the ‘evidence’ he pretends to give and that โ€œevidenceโ€ isnโ€™t real,โ€ the Daily KoS‘s Walter Einenkel writes.54Walter Einenkel. โ€œTurns out that Breitbart article the House Science Committee tweeted out is a con job,โ€ Daily KoS, December 5, 2016. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/1RzA4

October 17, 2016

David Rose attended the Global Warming Policy Foundation’s (GWPF) annual lecture at the Royal Society in London. The GWPF’s lecture was controversial given it was hosted at the Royal Society in London, which had reportedly been under internal pressure to cancel the booking.55โ€œMATT RIDLEY: GLOBAL WARMING VERSUS GLOBAL GREENING,โ€ The Global Warming Policy Foundation, October 18, 2016. Archived October 20, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/nD0fM 56Graham Readfearn. โ€œExclusive: Royal Society Under Internal Pressure To Cancel Venue Booking From Global Warming Policy Foundation,โ€ DeSmog UK, October 5, 2016.

Rose can be seen sitting next to James Delingpole, a prolific journalist at the far-right news site Breitbart who has repeatedly cited David Rose in his own articles. See screenshots below [1:39], second row on the left, and third person over, and more clearly at [34:38].

David Rose and James Delingpole at GWPF Conference
David Rose at GWPF Conference

Another notable audience member was Baroness Neville-Rolfe, Commercial Secretary to the Treasury. Such an audience suggests the event provided an opportunity for Rose to rub shoulders with, members of the press, the government, and with GWPF.

April 25, 2015

David Rose reported on a โ€œinternational panel of scientists,โ€ convened by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) and led by former Tory Chancellor Lord Lawson to โ€œlaunch a major inquiry to discover whether official world temperature records have exaggerated the extent of global warming.โ€57David Rose. โ€œDid exaggerated records make global warming look worse? Scientists to investigate whether ‘adjusted’ temperatures skewed data,โ€ Mail on Sunday, April 25, 2015. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/09IVR

Rose wrote in the Mail on Sunday that the panel โ€œwill focus on thousands of โ€˜adjustmentsโ€™ that have been made to temperature records kept at individual weather stations around the world.
Sceptics have argued that the effect of such adjustments โ€“ made when instruments are replaced or recalibrated, or heat-producing buildings are erected close to weather station sites โ€“ has skewed the records.โ€58David Rose. โ€œDid exaggerated records make global warming look worse? Scientists to investigate whether ‘adjusted’ temperatures skewed data,โ€ Mail on Sunday, April 25, 2015. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/09IVR

The GWPF project was billed as โ€œThe International Temperature Data Review Projectโ€ and claimed that โ€œthe global surface temperature records have been the subject of considerable and ongoing controversyโ€ due to so-called โ€œadjustmentsโ€ causing data to exhibit โ€œa much larger warming trend than the raw data.โ€59โ€œAbout,โ€ The International Temperature Data Review Project. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/jkaZD

The panel consisted of the following people:60โ€œThe commissioners,โ€ The International Temperature Data Review Project. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/H3kbV

January 17, 2015

Discussing whether 2014 was the warmest year on record, David Rose attempted to discredit the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), claiming they were only 38 percent sure that was the case. Rose goes on to promote the debunked viewpoint of an ongoing global warming โ€œpauseโ€:61David Rose. โ€œNasa climate scientists: We said 2014 was the warmest year on recordโ€ฆ but we’re only 38% sure we were,โ€ Mail on Sunday, January 19, 2015. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/TNyUO 62โ€œGlobal warming not slowing – it’s speeding up,โ€ SkepticalScience, March 12, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/JcHw9

โ€œClimate sceptics insisted that the new figures showed the warming โ€˜pauseโ€™ had continued,โ€ Rose quoted Dr David Whitehouse, of the Global Warming Policy Forum. Whitehouse said โ€œthere has been no statistically significant warming trend since 1997โ€™ โ€“ because the entire increase over this period was smaller than the error margin.โ€

October 25, 2014

Writing at the Mail on Sunday, David Rose claims to have exposed the โ€œโ€˜Green Blobโ€™ financed by a shadowy group of hugely wealthy foreign donors is driving Britain towards economically ruinous eco targets.โ€63David Rose. โ€œEXPOSED: How a shadowy network funded by foreign millions is making our household energy bills soar – for a low-carbon Britain,โ€ Mail on Sunday, October 25, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/ng2Pu

Rose then goes on to lament the supposedly small budgets of climate change denial groups like the Global Warming Policy Forum. The Global Warming Policy Forum is an extension of The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF), conducting activities outside of the nonprofit Foundation’s abilities as an โ€œeducational charity.โ€ According to Rose, the Forum โ€œhas an annual budget of ยฃ300,000 and employs just three people.โ€64โ€œWho We Are,โ€ The Global Warming Policy Forum. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/1OmsU

Rose quotes GWPF’s director Benny Peiser: โ€œAt the end of the day, someone will have to be held accountable for us committing economic suicide. We are the only organisation that does what we do โ€“ against hundreds on the other side, all saying the same thing.โ€65โ€œWho We Are,โ€ The Global Warming Policy Forum. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/1OmsU

August 30, 2014

David Rose writes that, seven years after warnings by Al Gore, โ€œThe Mail on Sunday can reveal that, far from vanishing, the Arctic ice cap has expanded for the second year in succession โ€“ with a surge, depending on how you measure it, of between 43 and 63 per cent since 2012.โ€66David Rose. โ€œMyth of Arctic meltdown: Stunning satellite images show summer ice cap is thicker and covers 1.7million square kilometres MORE than 2 years agoโ€ฆdespite Al Gore’s prediction it would be ICE-FREE by now,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, August 30, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/pV3wu

Rose quotes climate change contrarian scientist Judith Curry who said โ€˜The Arctic sea ice spiral of death seems to have reversed.โ€™ Curry also claimed that the majority of sea ice decline was due to โ€œnatural variability.โ€67David Rose. โ€œMyth of Arctic meltdown: Stunning satellite images show summer ice cap is thicker and covers 1.7million square kilometres MORE than 2 years agoโ€ฆdespite Al Gore’s prediction it would be ICE-FREE by now,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, August 30, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/pV3wu

Rose does admit that โ€œfew scientists doubt that carbon-dioxide emissions cause global warming, and that this has caused Arctic ice to decline,โ€ however goes on to suggest that there is โ€œmuch uncertainty about the speed of melting and how much of it is due to human activity.โ€68David Rose. โ€œMyth of Arctic meltdown: Stunning satellite images show summer ice cap is thicker and covers 1.7million square kilometres MORE than 2 years agoโ€ฆdespite Al Gore’s prediction it would be ICE-FREE by now,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, August 30, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/pV3wu

David Rose authored a similar article on the Antarctic in July, 2014, again quoting Judith Curry: โ€œWe do not have a quantitative, predictive understanding of the rise in Antarctic sea ice extent,โ€ she said. Curry also repeated the debunked myth of a 16-year global warming โ€œpauseโ€:69David Rose. โ€œGlobal warming computer models confounded as Antarctic sea ice hits new record high with 2.1million sq km more than is usual for time of year,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, July 5, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/5Xe2A

โ€œProf Curry also revealed that because of the โ€˜pauseโ€™, in which world average temperatures have not risen for more than 16 years, the Arctic ice decline has been โ€˜toutedโ€™ by many as the most important evidence for continued global warming,โ€ Rose wrote.70David Rose. โ€œGlobal warming computer models confounded as Antarctic sea ice hits new record high with 2.1million sq km more than is usual for time of year,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, July 5, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/5Xe2A

May 17, 2014

David Rose contends that โ€œGround-breaking climate researchโ€ that had found that global warming due to greenhouse gases was โ€œsignificantly exaggeratedโ€ was โ€œcontroversially โ€˜covered upโ€™โ€71David Rose. โ€œRevealed: How green zealots gagged professor who dared to question global warming,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, May 17, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/5AY12

A paper by Professor Lennart Bengtsson of Reading University had been rejected by a number of journals. According to Rose, โ€œThe rejection sparked accusations that scientists had crossed an important line by censoring findings that were not helpful to their views.โ€72David Rose. โ€œRevealed: How green zealots gagged professor who dared to question global warming,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, May 17, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/5AY12

One of the journals had rejected the paper because โ€œreviewers questioned the paperโ€™s methods,โ€ Rose wrote. Professor Bengtsson, 79, was a former member of the council of the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF).73David Rose. โ€œRevealed: How green zealots gagged professor who dared to question global warming,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, May 17, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/5AY12

Bengtsson said he was accused by former friends and colleagues of โ€œcrossing into the deniersโ€™ campโ€ when he joined the GWPF, a reaction which Rose described as โ€œa pressure so great he had feared for his health.โ€74David Rose. โ€œRevealed: How green zealots gagged professor who dared to question global warming,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, May 17, 2014. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/5AY12

November 2013

Pointing to a paper by climate change denier Judith Curry, David Rose writes in the Mail on Sunday that โ€œThe 17-year pause in global warming is likely to last into the 2030s and the Arctic sea ice has already started to recover.โ€75David Rose. โ€œGlobal warming ‘pause’ may last for 20 more years and Arctic sea ice has already started to recover,โ€ Mail on Sunday, November 2, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/6aFHE

โ€œThe pause means there has been no statistically significant increase in world average surface temperatures since the beginning of 1997, despite the modelsโ€™ projection of a steeply rising trend,โ€ Rose writes.76David Rose. โ€œGlobal warming ‘pause’ may last for 20 more years and Arctic sea ice has already started to recover,โ€ Mail on Sunday, November 2, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/6aFHE

March 30, 2013

When the Committee on Climate Change claimed that David Rose had โ€œmisunderstoodโ€ the value of computer models, and refuted Rose’s claim that โ€œthere has been no statistically significant increase for more than 16 years,โ€ Rose countered that it was an โ€œastonishing attackโ€ and that his original reporting was โ€œbacked up by a scientifically researched graph.โ€ Rose points to statements from climate change deniers Andrew Montford, and David Whitehouse of the GWPF for defense.77David Rose. โ€œGovernment’s climate watchdog launches astonishing attack on the Mail on Sundayโ€ฆ for revealing global warming science is wrong,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, March 30, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/9vJQW

March 16, 2013

David Rose published an article titled โ€œThe Great Green Con no. 1: The hard proof that finally shows global warming forecasts that are costing you billions were WRONG all alongโ€ in the Mail on Sunday. In the article, Rose claims to present โ€œirrefutable evidence that official predictions of global climate warming have been catastrophically flawed.โ€78David Rose. โ€œThe Great Green Con no. 1: The hard proof that finally shows global warming forecasts that are costing you billions were WRONG all along,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, March 16, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/xkHQa

The Committee on Climate Change reviewed Rose’s claims, among which include the agreement between observed temperatures and model predictions, the so-called โ€œpauseโ€ in temperature rise, and climate sensitivity. Below is a portion of their response:79Steve Smith. โ€œClimate science remains robust despite claims in the Mail,โ€ Committee on Climate Change, March 26, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/bqOBB

โ€œWe conclude that the approach to global and UK emissions reductions underpinning the Climate Change Act remains appropriate despite the assertions in the article. Nonetheless, as ever, it will continue to be important to monitor developments in climate science closely and draw out any policy implications.

Of the four scientists quoted in the Mail article, three (Myles Allen, James Annan and Piers Forster) have since publicly criticised it. The chart used appears to have been copied from the blog of a fifth climate scientist, Ed Hawkins, who has also taken issue with the articleโ€™s interpretation of it.

A chart of observed global temperatures against climate model outputs is the main evidence provided in the article. It claims that the chart โ€œblows apart the scientific basisโ€ for reducing emissions. This is simply incorrect, and reveals a misunderstanding of what the chart shows โ€“ a pattern of observed temperature over the last sixty years within the range of model outputsโ€80Steve Smith. โ€œClimate science remains robust despite claims in the Mail,โ€ Committee on Climate Change, March 26, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/bqOBB

September 14, 2013

Claiming to have obtained a leaked final draft of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, David Rose contends that โ€œover the past 15 years, recorded world temperatures have increased at only a quarter of the rate of IPCC claimed when it published its last assessment in 2007.โ€81David Rose. โ€œWorld’s top climate scientists confess: Global warming is just QUARTER what we thought – and computers got the effects of greenhouse gases wrong,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, September 14, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/xZ2sV

He goes on to state that the IPCC โ€œrecognise the global warming โ€˜pauseโ€™ first reported by The Mail on Sunday last year is real โ€“ and concede that their computer models did not predict it.โ€82David Rose. โ€œWorld’s top climate scientists confess: Global warming is just QUARTER what we thought – and computers got the effects of greenhouse gases wrong,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, September 14, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/xZ2sV

Rose quotes Judith Curry, who said โ€œThe consensus-seeking process used by the IPCC creates and amplifies biases in the science. It should be abandoned in favour of a more traditional review that presents arguments for and against โ€“ which would better support scientific progress, and be more useful for policy makers.โ€83David Rose. โ€œWorld’s top climate scientists confess: Global warming is just QUARTER what we thought – and computers got the effects of greenhouse gases wrong,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, September 14, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/xZ2sV

He also goes on to quote climate change denier Benny Peiser of the Global Warming Policy Foundation who described the leaked IPCC report as a โ€œstaggering concoction of confusion, speculation and sheer ignorance.โ€84David Rose. โ€œWorld’s top climate scientists confess: Global warming is just QUARTER what we thought – and computers got the effects of greenhouse gases wrong,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, September 14, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/xZ2sV

February 24, 2013

Included in an article claiming that certain MPs were unduly benefiting from green energy companies, David Rose lists a number of debunked โ€œmythsโ€ regarding climate change, reproduced in full below. Note that the โ€œmythsโ€ and โ€œtruthsโ€ Rose lists are largely inverted when compared to the view of mainstream climate change science:85David Rose. โ€œEco-tastrophe! How MPs in the pay of subsidised eco-firms set insane new carbon targets that send your bills sky-rocketingโ€ฆ and drag us to a new Dark Age,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, February 23, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/RAtVk

โ€œEXPLODING THE MYTHS ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGEโ€
MYTH The world is continually getting warmer.
TRUTH
Official Met Office data shows no statistically significant global temperature rise since January 1997. The fact was confirmed last week by Raj Pachauri, chairman of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Many scientists say this means forecasts of how much warmer the world will be by 2100 must be revised downwards. Pachauri disagreed: for him to be convinced, the โ€˜pauseโ€™ would have to last 30 years.

MYTH Global warming is already causing extreme weather.
TRUTH I
f anything, weather has become less, not more extreme in the past 50 years. Professor Roger Pielke Jr of Colorado University โ€“ no climate sceptic โ€“ last week said that the past seven years had been the longest period ever recorded without a Category 3 or stronger hurricane hitting America, and that drought has decreased since the mid-20th Century. The IPCC admits there is no evidence that global warming has caused more storms in the tropics.

MYTH If we donโ€™t take swift, drastic action to cut CO2 emissions, the world will soon become uninhabitable
TRUTH
The โ€˜pauseโ€™ in rising temperatures, along with new research into the decline in the sunโ€™s output and other natural factors, is leading many scientists to lower estimates of how fast carbon dioxide warms the world. Until now, the IPCC has suggested that doubling CO2 causes a worrying increase of 3.5C, but many experts say it is about 1.7C. The computer models still say the world will be at least 2C warmer by the end of the century, but they failed to predict the pause.

MYTH Weโ€™ve got to do our bit, even if it hurts. If we cut emissions, the rest of the world will follow.
TRUTH
The fiasco of the 2009 UN climate conference in Copenhagen proved that China, India, Brazil and other fast-growing nations are simply not prepared to make any binding commitments to reduce their emissions. However, by cutting our own ever more deeply, all we do is increase the already rocketing price of our energy and so drive jobs abroad โ€“ while making almost no difference to world CO2 levels.

MYTH The faster we cut carbon in our power generation, the more prosperous we will be.
TRUTH
We face declining energy capacity, while the Government targets on 2030 emissions would mean few firms will be willing to invest in the one proven type of power source โ€“ gas โ€“ that can fill the gap relatively cheaply. Instead of โ€˜green growthโ€™, we face years of impoverished stagnation, while industry flees Britain and our sky-high energy prices.

MYTH The Arctic is going to be ice-free in summer in a few years.
TRUTH
Although last summer saw a return to the relatively low levels of ice seen in 2007, the growth of Arctic winter ice this year is the fastest on record. Canadian archaeologists have been finding evidence the ice cover shrank to half its current extent during a warm period 7,000 years ago โ€“ but never vanished entirely.

October 13, 2012

David Rose wrote in the Mail on Sunday, that voicing the debunked myth that โ€œThe world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago.โ€ Rose claimed that new data proved a global warming โ€œplateauโ€ or โ€œpause.โ€ While Rose notes that Phil Jones, director of the Climate Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia disagreed, he goes on to cite climate change denier Judith Curry for support.86David Rose. โ€œGlobal warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly releasedโ€ฆ and here is the chart to prove it,โ€ Mail on Sunday, October 13, 2012. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/G2z1q 87โ€œStudy drives a sixth nail into the global warming โ€˜pauseโ€™ myth,โ€ SkepticalScience, November 24, 2015. Archived December 8, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/Hli5M

CarbonBrief noted that there was a huge response following Rose’s post, and went on to analyze a number of his claims. They note that Rose had also posted a followup, making โ€œno acknowledgement of his previous mistakes.โ€ The Met Office had responded to Rose’s claim that the report had been released โ€œwithout fanfare or publicityโ€ by them:88โ€œThe Mail on Sunday, David Rose and climate misinterpretation: Round two,โ€ Carbon Brief, October 23, 2012. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/HkumN

โ€œโ€ฆthe Met Office has not issued a report on this issue. We can only assume the article is referring to the completion of work to update the HadCRUT4 global temperature dataset compiled by ourselves and the University of East Angliaโ€™s Climate Research Unit,โ€ The Met office’s blog wrote.89โ€œThe Mail on Sunday, David Rose and climate misinterpretation: Round two,โ€ Carbon Brief, October 23, 2012. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/HkumN

CarbonBrief notes that while Rose clarifies in his now article that the original graph did not come from the Met Office, he still describes his graph as a โ€œa new official world temperature graphโ€ despite being what CarbonBrief describes as โ€œclearly a Mail on Sunday graphic.โ€90โ€œThe Mail on Sunday, David Rose and climate misinterpretation: Round two,โ€ Carbon Brief, October 23, 2012. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/HkumN

Despite this, other news outlets proceeded to write as if the report had been released from the Met Office, with article headlines like โ€œGlobal Climate Warming Stopped 15 Years Ago, UK Met Office Admits.โ€91Alex Newman. โ€œGlobal Climate Warming Stopped 15 Years Ago, UK Met Office Admits,โ€ The New American, October 15, 2012. Archived December 28, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/LCFs5

Rose wrote a similar claim in an earlier September 28 article, where he said โ€œThe global warming โ€˜pauseโ€™ has now lasted for almost 17 years and shows no sign of ending โ€“ despite the unexplained failure of climate scientistsโ€™ computer models to predict it.โ€ In that article, he also claimed that data direct form the MET Office โ€œshows the lack of a warming trend.โ€92David Rose. โ€œMet Office proof that global warming is still ‘on pause’ as climate summit confirms global temperature has stopped rising,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, September 28, 2013. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/e5EsO

October 30, 2011

David Rose featured an interview with climate change denier Judith Curry in his column at the Mail on Sunday. Rose discusses a study published by former climate change skeptic Richard Muller, who Curry goes on to accuse of misleading the public. She said that the affair had to be compared to the so-called โ€œClimategateโ€ scandal.93David Rose. โ€œScientist who said climate change sceptics had been proved wrong accused of hiding truth by colleague,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, October 30, 2011. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/1EP1I

Rose cites a graph from an upcoming report by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) as evidence that โ€œthe [warming] trend of the last decade is absolutely flat, with no increase at all โ€“ though the levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere have carried on rising relentlessly.โ€94David Rose. โ€œScientist who said climate change sceptics had been proved wrong accused of hiding truth by colleague,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, October 30, 2011. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/1EP1I

โ€œThis is nowhere near what the climate models were predicting,โ€ Curry said. โ€˜Whatever it is thatโ€™s going on here, it doesnโ€™t look like itโ€™s being dominated by CO2.โ€™95David Rose. โ€œScientist who said climate change sceptics had been proved wrong accused of hiding truth by colleague,โ€ The Mail on Sunday, October 30, 2011. Archived December 29, 2016. Archive.is URL: https://archive.is/1EP1I

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Below are some samples of David Rose’s publications on environmental, energy, and climate issues:

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