DeBunked: Julia Hartley-Brewer on Climate Forecasts and Heatwaves

We correct claims by the TalkTV pundit. Climate models do work, 2.8C warming would be very bad news, and the 2022 UK heatwave was linked to global warming.
Julia Hartley-Brewer on BBC Question Time
Julia Hartley-Brewer on BBC Question Time. Credit: BBC

First posted on Twitter on 4 November 2022

TalkTV host Julia Hartley-Brewer made several claims about climate change on a recent BBC Question Time

Hereโ€™s the evidence for why sheโ€™s wrong – and more on her record of rejecting climate science.

Hartley-Brewerโ€™s claim that the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) climate models have been โ€œexposed as complete nonsenseโ€ is false. 

In fact, climate models have accurately predicted global temperature rises. Observed warming tracks the forecasts. See this graphic from Carbon Brief:

You can read more about how climate models work in this helpful explainer by Skeptical Science.

Hartley-Brewer suggested warming up to 2.8 degrees would not โ€œnecessarily be an issueโ€.

But the IPCC has said more intense heat, rain, drought and fires are already damaging the lives of millions of people & ecosystems. More warming will make this worse.

Hartley-Brewer dismissed the UKโ€™s record heatwave in 2022, saying: โ€œItโ€™s called weather.โ€ The IPCC says It is โ€œvirtually certainโ€ (99 to 100 percent) that โ€œintensity and duration of heatwavesโ€ has increased, and that โ€œhuman-induced greenhouse gasโ€ is the main cause.

And contrary to Hartley-Brewer’s claims, a study by the World Weather Attribution service suggests that human-caused climate change made the UK’s heatwave โ€œat least 10 times more likelyโ€.

Julia Hartley-Brewer has a history of rejecting climate science, attacking net zero policies and praising fossil fuels (See her profile in DeSmog’s climate disinformation database for more.)

We hope this thread is helpful next time she’s on BBC Question Time and other platforms discussing climate.

This blog is part of our DeBunk pilot project. You can read more about the project here.