The Future is Real; Let's Keep it Cool

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As one of the originators of the DeSmogBlog, and as its financial backer, Iโ€™d like to explain why I got involved in thisย project and why I think everyone should engage more seriously in the issue of climateย change.

My rationale can be summed up in threeย phrases:

1. 100 years from nowย exists;

2.ย Stop me if youโ€™ve heard thisย before;ย and:

3.ย Use less? No: expectย more.

Let meย explain:

One hundred years from now exists.

Itโ€™s true that we canโ€™t prove it, any more than we can prove the science of climate change to the satisfaction of the good folks at ExxonMobile, but we still all understand and agree that the year 2106 will arrive on time and on schedule, whether or not any of us, or our children, survive to see theย day.

The question, then, is why canโ€™t we plan for it? Humans are all butย unique in the world in their ability to anticipate future events and adjustย their actions accordingly. Itโ€™s true that a cougar will stash a half-eaten carcass so it can come back to it later, but itโ€™s a leap from that kind of foresight to, say, planning for retirement or brushing your teeth when youโ€™re six, so you will still have teeth when youโ€™reย 60.

Regardless of that human quality – that capacity – the media conversation on climate change is still dominated by people who would have us throw away our tooth brushes, take off our seatbelts and resume smoking. They argue that while intelligent caution mightย  serve us well, it also might not. Your teeth might fall out anyway – and 2,500 of the worldโ€™s most accomplished climate scientists might be wrong about humankindโ€™s impact on the earthโ€™sย environment.

Right. And time mightย stop.

If you drink enough wine, you will find in that last statement good fodder for an interesting philosophical discussion. But even inebriated, most of us would recognize that itโ€™s a stupid position on which to buildย policy.

ย Where have you heard thisย before?

Remember the guys who told us smoking might not be bad for you? If you donโ€™t, if you canโ€™t put a name on that perfidy, check out www.junkscience.com. Steve Milloy, the Fox News columnist and climate change denier-for-hire moved seemlessly from taking money from Big Tobacco to attack cancer scientists to taking money from Big Oil to attack climate science. (Itโ€™s not clear how the guy sleeps at night, but it seems likely that, given his client list,ย he can afford a comfyย mattress.)

Again, on one hand we have the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC, the worldโ€™s most reputable climate experts all agreeing that we face a global catastrophe if we donโ€™t change the way we are living. On the other hand, you have a handful of self-interested skeptics who will, apparently take money from the worldโ€™s most rapacious companies and then dream up arguments to justify their actions. Perversely, the media presents both these views and calls itย balance.

The other aspect to โ€œWhere have you heard this beforeโ€ – the other common argument – is that addressing climate change will be damaging to the economy. Well, abolishing slavery was damaging to the economy of the white folks who were reaping the benefit, but without wanting to put any words in Steve Milloyโ€™s mouth, I think weโ€™re all pretty convinced it was still a goodย idea.

Want Less? No: Expectย More.

This is the part of the argument where I often fall out of step with the environmental lobby. I think itโ€™s a terrible mistake, when you are trying to build public support in an urgent policy discussion,ย to try to recruit converts by telling people that they should want less than tomorrow than they have today. There is, among the clumsiest enviro-campaigners, an abstemious self-righteousness that works only at chasing potential supportersย away.

Finding intelligent solutions to climate change should not involve telling everyone that they have to give up their vehicles and live in cold, dimly lit houses. We should not want less for ourselvs and our families, we should demand more – from our governments and from the industries that serve us. We should not tolerate theย faux helplessness of an auto industry that complains that itย canโ€™t profitablyย meet emission standards and then sells everyone into unsafe, truck-based vehicles just to dodge emission regulations. We shouldย not tolerate aย government that subsidizesย oil but canโ€™t find serious money for alternative energyย research.

I am convinced that the solutions are there if we look for them – if we invest in them. I am also impressed that the worldโ€™s most reasonable governments could, in Montreal in December, continue to agree on a format to set substantive and enforceable emission-reduction targets. Anything less is frighteninglyย inadequate.

Finally, I have been delighted by the passion and courage that my DeSmogBlog partner Jim Hoggan brings to this issue. As an old pro in the PR field, he recognizes instantly the too-common misuse of public relations tactics to confuse, rather than educate the public on climate. Most PR professionals probably see the same thing, but no others have shown the strength of character necessary to stand up and sayย so.

So: watch for those phrases. Pay attention when someone starts talking as if 100 years from now does not exist. Listen skeptically when you start hearing messages of phoney reassurances that sound too much like things youโ€™ve heard before. And donโ€™t let anyone tell you to want less. Be reasonable, be prudent, be responsible in your energy usage, by all means. But be demanding. We all will have to achieve a high standard if we are to contain climateย change.

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