Lindzen Slipping from Ranks of "Credible" Scientists

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Has the once-respected professor โ€œgoneย emeritusโ€?

Richard Lindzen has long been the โ€œskepticโ€ community’s scientific poster boy. In a world stuffed with deniers for hire such as S. Fred Singer and Tim Ball, who lecture on the topic of climate change regardless that they bring little or no relevant expertise to the subject, Lindzen is the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences at MIT and has served (many years ago) as a lead author on a chapter in the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climateย Change.

But increasingly, his trenchant denial that climate change is a concern is casting him further from the ranks of people who can be taken seriously – particularly as he shows increasing willingness to say things that are simply and demonstrably notย true.

Take as an example this recent radio interview, in which Lindzen tells Australian commentator Chris Smith that his country’s effort to tackle climate change by implementing carbon tax is โ€œa bitย bizarre.โ€

Lindzen says a number of silly things (in more detail below), but he flat out lies about the state of polar ice in Greenland and Antarctica saying, โ€œthere is no evidence of any significant change.โ€

Isabella Velicogna would disagree. In her most recent Geophysical Research Letters paper on ice mass loss calibrated by the GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) satellite mission, she recorded losses on Greenland amounting to 286 giggatonnes a year between 2007โ€“2009 on Greenland and 246 Gt/yr in 2006โ€“2009 in Antarctica. Compared to a period five years earlier, the loss was accelerating by a trend that Velicogna described as quadratic rather thanย linear.

Most of Lindzen’s comments in this interview amount to little more than advising children to play with matches. For example, he says that it is โ€œbizarreโ€ for people in Australia to try to rein in their carbon emissions because that action, โ€œcouldn’t be justified by any impact that it would have on Australia or anyone.โ€ Lindzen doesn’t make any effort to justify this view, leaving us to speculate that he might be arguing that any action taken by Australia’s small population would be irrelevant, especially when both population and personal carbon emissions are growing quickly in the developingย world.

It’s the argument you might hear from Smokey the Bear’s evil cousin, who advises not that โ€œOnly you can prevent forest fires,โ€ but: โ€œWhat the hell, some guy in China might be starting a fire right now anyway; what possible difference can it make if YOUREย reckless?โ€

Lindzen is only 71 years old, a little early to โ€œgo emeritusโ€ in the sense of forgetting entirely the necessity to check your work before you open your mouth – and to restrict yourself to topics on which you have actually done some recent research. Then again, this is a guy who once testified that it was hard to make a link between smoking andย cancer.

Toward the end of the radio interview, however, Lindzen said one thing that’s hard to criticize. Asked to imagine what people will think when they look back on this time 40 years from now, he said, they โ€œwill wonder how science broke down.โ€ They’ll wonder how, โ€œin a period of technilogical advance that the public could be swayed by arguments that make noย sense.โ€

On that position, he is sure to be provedย correct.

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