Trust Me, You'll Want to Hear George Marshall Talk About "Multivalent" Climate Change

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Eight years ago, climate communications expert George Marshall picked up a copy of The Independent from his doorstep on a Saturday morning. Looking at the front cover of that magazine, he said, got him thinking about the โ€œpeculiaritiesโ€ of climateย change.

In bold letters the headline read โ€œThe Melting Mountains: How Climate Change is Destroying the Worldโ€™s Most Spectacular Landscapesโ€ and inside it outlined how alpine tourism is at risk with roughly 50 years left before a warmer climate begins to claim theย snowpack.

Marshall said what really struck him was what he saw next. โ€œIt was the Saturday newspaper, so I picked it up and out falls the travel supplement. The travel supplement is dedicated to visiting those spectacular places before they go, entirely by the medium of internationalย flights.โ€

โ€œThereโ€™s something peculiar in this and I had a long conversation with my wife about it: how thereโ€™s this disconnect between the concern expressed on the first three pages and the hedonism expressed in the travelย supplement.โ€

He laughed, โ€œWhat did Oscar Wilde say? We all kill the thing weย love.โ€

George Marshall: Compartmentalizingย Climate

Marshall works as director of projects at the Climate Outreach Information Centre in Oxford and manages climatedenial.org, a website dedicated to understanding psychological responses to climateย change.

His first book, Carbon Detox: Your Step by Step Guide to Getting Real About Climate Change, was met with a lot of positive fanfare when it was published in 2007. But facing these new complexities of climate change led Marshall to write his second book: Donโ€™t Even Think About It: Why Our Brains Are Wired to Ignore Climate Change, just released three weeksย ago.

Marshall says around this same time he had the poignant experience with his Saturday edition of The Independent, The Guardian newspaper wrote an article on the 25 places to visit โ€œwhile you still can.โ€ These stories, he said, are framed in the narrative of climate change and of a vanishingย world.

The way we cope with this information, Marshall suggested, is by placing conflicting narratives and antagonistic facts into different bins in ourย mind.

โ€œThe other thing that is interesting to me is this idea of compartmentalizing as metaphor for the way the human brain operates. That the brain is divided into these supplemental parts and each part sort of sits in one hall and doesnโ€™t talk to theย other.โ€

Marshall said he got thinking about the editors of The Independent who knew that their readers would be interested in climate change, but maybe also in a holiday at a skiย resort.

These things arenโ€™t incompatible in a publication, Marshall said. And neither are they incompatible in anย individual.

Marshall says heโ€™s fascinated now by these information juxtapositions he sees everywhere, like a magazine stand on a street corner that displays multiple magazineย covers.

โ€You can see the way high-carbon consumption patterns are arranged around environmental apocalypse. Again like the newspaper, like theyโ€™re separate supplements, yet thereโ€™s a conversation going on between them,โ€ heย said.

โ€œWhen we look at these things we manage to build barriers and frames around them. We divide these, again, into different compartments and zero in on them on the basis of ourย interests.โ€

Marshall said he began to focus in on the question of why he might zero in on a climate change cover, while others will be compelled in another direction. How do we make those decisions, about what we will attend to, and what we willย not?

โ€œThe thing which interests me very strongly with climate change is this balance of attention and dis-attention. In the book we call it โ€˜why our brains are wired to ignore climate changeโ€™ but it’s the word ignore thatโ€™s really short hand for dis-attention,โ€ heย said.

โ€œWhat is that mechanism by which we can pay attention to some things and dis-attend others whilst being entirely conscious of the fact that weโ€™re doingย it?โ€

Climate Change andย Multivalence

There is no authoritative story that climate change will tell, Marshall said. And thatโ€™s because climate change, more so than many other issues, is multivalent.

โ€œIt is not just something which is in the future or uncertain,โ€ Marshall explained. โ€œIt is in the future, in the present and theย past.โ€

Marshall said a lot of other climate psychology or theories of climate denial emphasize the future-oriented elements of climate change, or how addressing it is going to be expensive, or uncertain, or will requireย sacrifice.

But Marshall says there are other competing issues that could be all of these things and be conceivably less difficult to deal with than climate change. Think about a giant meteor hurtling towards earth, he said. If we know itโ€™s going to strike in 50 years, thatโ€™s significant. That tells aย narrative.

But because climate change is so multivalent, because it tells so many narratives, โ€œit is as near to certain or uncertain as we choose it toย be.โ€

We โ€œpick the narrativeโ€ of climate change, Marshall said, and because of that, we can use this particular issue to tell ourselves any number ofย stories.

โ€œClimate change exists for us primarily in the form of โ€˜social factsโ€™ โ€“ constructed narratives based on our values andย worldview.โ€

โ€œSo,โ€ as an issue, Marshall said, climate change โ€œis exceptionally open to biasedย interpretation.โ€

โ€œIt presents an incomplete narrative that calls for biasedย completion.โ€

Climate Change is the Perfectย Crime

When weโ€™re looking to diagnose a problem, we often search for a culprit, according to Marshall. But in this sense, climate change is a crime that not only has no clear culprit, but no clearย intent.

โ€œWeโ€™re all โ€“ and I say this as weโ€™re in a room of affluent Westerners โ€“ responsible for climate change,โ€ Marshall said, adding, โ€œIโ€™m not intending to cause harm. None of usย are.โ€

Even so, climate change has been constructed in an enemy narrative, but without a clear suspect and without a clearย intent.

โ€œWe are constantly trying to insert enemies into the frame of climate change,โ€ Marshall said, and getting nowhere in the meantime. A pervasive cultural guilt is displaced onto individuals, many of whom feel powerless in the face of large systemicย problems.

What has taken the place of productive conversations about responsible management is what Marshall calls a โ€œnegotiatedย silence.โ€

The absence of meaningful debate about climate action at the United Nations is a prime example of such a silence, Marshall said. And the inability to tackle climate emissions at their source is the troublingย result.

โ€œThere is nothing comparable when it comes to any other international resource issue,โ€ Marshall said, pointing to the strict regulation of drugs as anย example.

โ€œEvery stage is considered,โ€ Marshall said, when it comes to drugย control.

Fisheries management is much the same, heย said.

โ€œJust think about fisheries: you have fish harvesting controls, not fish stick consumption control,โ€ heย said.

โ€œA negotiated silence means no one is having that conversation,โ€ leaving a discussion about climate change to fall off theย rails.

โ€œIf you get a misaligned narrative, that puts the enemy emphasis in the wrong placeโ€ he said, โ€œitโ€™s very difficult to detachย it.โ€

We become locked into certain narratives, Marshall said, to the exclusion ofย alternatives.

Breaking the Partisanย Divide

A crucial part of breaking out of failed narratives about climate change, Marshall said, is โ€œbreaking through the partisanย divide.โ€

He said there may be ways forward that are โ€œuncomfortableโ€ but they deserve our consideration. This is especially so when it comes to working with people of differentย worldviews.

When it comes to the particular way forward, Marshall is candid about his own limits: โ€œI donโ€™t know if I have the right answers, but I think Iโ€™m asking the rightย questions.โ€

But one thing Marshall is fairly certain of is that we wonโ€™t make progress by having information wars with our ideological counterparts. When it comes to divided perspectives on climate change, simply presenting scientific facts wonโ€™t cut it, heย said.

โ€œWhen you go outside your immediate domain,โ€ he said, โ€œthereโ€™s a lot we can learn from otherย people.โ€

George Marshall is speaking at the University of British Columbia in Woodward IRC 5 on Wednesday, September 10, 2014 from 12:30pm to 2:00pm. A live webcast can be followed at http://sustain.ubc.ca/wired. For more information visit the Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions.

Image Credit: George Marshall at the University of Victoria. Photo by Carolย Linnitt.

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