Shell knew climate change was going to be big, was going to be bad, and that its products were responsible for global warming all the way back in the 1980s, a tranche of new documentsย reveal.
Documents unearthed by Jelmer Mommers of De Correspondent, published today on Climate Files, a project of the Climate Investigations Center, show intense interest in climate change internally atย Shell.
The documents date back to 1988, meaning Shell was doing climate change research before the UNโs scientific authority on the issue, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, wasย established.
Hereโs a quick run through of a 1988 document entitled, โThe Greenhouseย Effectโ.
Climate Change Was Going to beย Big
Shellโs internal document acknowledge that increased greenhouse gas emissions could lead to 1.5 degrees to 3.5 degrees ofย warming:
Shell was worried that should the issue of climate change become better known, public opinion may shift against fossil fuels and towards renewables, putting Shellโs business model atย risk:
Shell acknowledged that climate change could lead to changes that were โthe greatest in recorded historyโ. But the company also said that it may have recognised the problem โearly enough for man to be able to anticipate and to adapt inย timeโ:
Climate Change Was Going to beย Bad
Shell knew that climate change could have โmajorโ and โdramaticโ changes. The document said climate change couldย lead to โmajor social, political, and economicย changesโ:
Shell also knew climate change was going have major impacts on the environment, anticipating that there could be โeven local disappearance of specificย ecosystemsโ:
Shell lists a number of areas that could be specifically affected by climate change,ย including:
Shellโs Products were Responsible for Climateย Change
Shellโs document acknowledges that greenhouse gas emissions have significantly risen โmainly due to fossil fuel burning andย deforestationโ:
The document also shows that Shell knew all of its products including coal, oil and gas significantly contributed to theย problem:
Thereย is even a table that outlines how much of global carbon dioxide emissions Shell’s products were responsible for inย 1984:
Shell and the Fossil Fuel Industry Needed to be Part of theย Solution
Shell was quick to push most responsibility for dealing with climate change onto governments. But the company did acknowledge that the fossil fuel industry would have to be part of theย solution.
In one paragraph, Shell calls for โa forward looking approach by the energyย industryโ:
Shell also says the industry must โwork out the part it should playโ, and that the fossil fuel industry โhas very strong interests at stake and much expertise to contributeโ to addressing climateย change:
You can read the full document with annotated highlights by De Correspondent and the Climate Investigation Centre here.
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