The finances of the oil and gas industry are so dismal that the major banks that have funded the money-losing fracking boom are now exploring taking the unusual step of taking over the oil companies that cannot afford to pay back theย banks’ย loans.
Reuters reported that banks are exploring the option of seizing oil company assets because the more traditional route of bankruptcy will result in huge losses for the banks โ while seizing assets and holding them until oil prices increase would likely minimize thoseย losses.
Buddy Clark of law firm Haynes and Boone explained to Reuters that, โBanks can now believably wield the threat that they will foreclose on the company and its properties if they donโt pay their loanย back.โ
While banks seizing assets from borrowers who canโt repay loans is common for industries like real estate โ especially residential real estate โ it is an unusual move for the oil and gas industry. Reuters reported that the last time it happened was during the oil price crash of the late 1980s. In the most recent oil price crash, when oilย dropped from prices over $100 a barrel to $40 a barrel, there was a rash of bankruptcies, but the banks did not seizeย assets.
One difference now is that shale oil companies have continued to increase debt โ thanks to loans from the banks โ to the point where most of these companies are not viable with low oil prices. As one industry observer recently noted in The New York Times, โThis is late โ80sย bad.โ
One new angle that didnโt exist in the 1980s is a dramatic change in sentiment from parts of the investment community about the viability of the oil industry as an investment. Television investment advisor Jim Cramer of CNBC was saying oil stocks were in the โdeath knell phaseโ in January, before oil prices crashed to the current lows and the coronavirus had crushed global oilย demand.
More recently, in a remarkable opinion piece for Seeking Alpha, Kirk Spano advised investors to get out of the industry now with a unique twist on why this wasย urgent:
โWe are about to see a massive wave of shale oil bankruptcies by thieving executives who have borrowed against assets and paid themselves bonuses for years without regard to shareholderย value.โ
While DeSmog has commented on issues of potential industry fraud and executives paying themselves while the companies they ran lost money, it is a decided shift in sentiment when sites like SeekingAlpha are calling for investors to get out and then โsue the dirt out of the executives who have almost all broken fiduciaryย duties.โ
Which is why banks are now considering seizing the assets of the failed oilย companies โ it is a bad option for the banks but it is the best oneย left.
According to Moody’s, in the third quarter of 2019, 91 percent of defaulted U.S. corporate debt was due to oil and gas companies.
Remember, this was BEFORE the coronavirus & price war. The oil industry was already in crisis before today’s crisis started.https://t.co/R9l04dzdIG
โ Clark Williams-Derry (@ClarkWDerry) April 10, 2020
Financing for Oil Asset Sales Notย Available
Understandably, these same banks that have financed the industry and the shale oil boom are not interested in making new loans for companies to acquire assets. This is causing another major problem for even the largest oil companies that had planned to fund current money-losing operations by sellingย assets.
BP had planned to sell its Alaskan assets to the company Hilcorp for $5.6 billion dollars, but now it appears the large banks are not willing to loan Hilcorp that money โ which according to the Wall Street Journal means the deal is likelyย dead.
This is an example of how the oil industryโs reliance on debt is finally causing serious problems. As we have highlighted, the companies fracking shale for oil have always relied on debt but until recently that wasnโt an issue for major oil companies like BP.
The Wall Street Journal reports the reason BP wanted to sell these assets is that the company also is highly leveraged, and planned to use this asset sale to pay down some of itsย debt.
This doesnโt bode well for Exxonโs plans to fund its ongoing operations by selling assets. Exxon had announced plans to raise $15 billion this year from asset sales, but it doesnโt appear there are any lenders who are willing to loan that sort of money to companies wanting to buy oil and gasย assets.
โExxon & Total haven’t generated enough cashโฆto cover โฆexpenses & dividendsโฆBP was able to cover its dividend, butโฆdebt levels rose. Shell needed asset sales to help cover dividends & buybacks.โhttps://t.co/5gVPdUVntv#OOTT #oilandgas #oil #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC
โ Art Berman (@aeberman12) November 2, 2019
Fracking Existed Because of Debt, Without New Loans It Canโtย Exist
As we have documented on DeSmog, for the past two years the U.S fracking industry has borrowed approximately $250 billion more dollars than it has made selling fracked oil and gas. This has made a lot of fracking CEOs very wealthy and much of that money has also gone to Wall Street bankers โ and they wonโt be giving itย back.
Without the option to borrow more money, the industry will be decimated. In a New York Times op-ed last week journalistย Bethany McLean highlighted thisย reality.
McLeanโs book Saudi America highlighted the fatal flaws in the finances of the fracking industry and her current piece sums up the reality of the delusional finances of the frackingย industry.
โIn reality, the dream was always an illusion, and its collapse was already underway. Thatโs because oil fracking has never been financially viable,โ writesย McLean.
Things that are unsustainable usually do come to an end. One day. https://t.co/PRdYNrDC0s
โ Bethany McLean (@bethanymac12) April 11, 2020
The banks know this, which is why they are no longer making loans to shale companies and are taking the last desperate step of seizing oil companyย assets.
But the banks know one other thing. Banks are first in line for bailouts and there will be plenty of money for them to navigate this issue. The big banks caused the housing crisis by making bad loans โ and were bailedย out.
The big banks funded the money-losing fracking industry for the past decade just like they funded the housing crisis โ but the reality is, just like in the housing crisis, the coming bailouts will protect theย banks.
What is different about this crisis is the housing market rebounded and continues on as a large part of the U.S. economy. If people like Jim Cramer are correct and the oil industry is in its โdeath knell phaseโ โ future funding of the oil industry by these banks may not continue with the reckless abandon that fueled the great American fracking disaster.
Main image:ย Oil industry operationsย in the Permian Basin ofย Texas.ย Credit:ย Justinย Hamelย ยฉย 2020
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