Australian climate scientists have hit back at their former Prime Minister Tony Abbott, describing his speech to a London think tank as being laced with distortions, falsehoods, misrepresentations, andย misdirection.
Abbott told the contrarian Global Warming Policy Foundationย (GWPF) that rising carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel burning could be โbeneficialโ and compared acceptance of human-caused climate change toย religion.
The GWPF, founded by former Thatcher government treasurer Lord Nigel Lawson, consistently pushes positions on climate change that fall well outside the establishedย science.
The foundation, which claims to be bi-partisan but has accepted funding from many conservative figures, had declined requests from several specialist climate change media outlets to hear the Abbott lecture, claiming the speech โwas not a mediaย event.โ
Dr. Benjamin Henley, a University of Melbourne scientist specializing in ancient climate change and climate models, who read the transcript, said: โIt is precarious territory for a politician to enter the scientific boxing ring, with only a bible of conspiracy theories and misconstrued talking points in hand. His speech is full of falsehoods, miscomprehension, and basicย untruths.โ
Abbott lost the leadership of the conservative Liberal Party and, with it, the Prime Ministership, in September 2015 to the countryโs current leader, Malcolmย Turnbull.
Abbottโs public position on climate science has flip-flopped over the years.ย He once described the science as โabsolute crapโ but during office, claimed to accept the basic facts and said he took the issueย seriously.
But he has also denied any link between rising temperatures and Australiaโs bushfires, going against decades ofย research.
Abbott’s ‘Misleading’ย Claims
Professor Steven Sherwoodย of the Climate Change Research Centre at the University of New South Walesย refutedย Abbottโs claim that climate models wereย wrong:
โIn fact models are nearly dead-on in predicting overall global warming so far.ย They donโt predict every detail, but were never expectedย to.โ
At one point, Abbott said that because he had seen historical photographsย ofย Manly Beach near Sydney, he thoughtย reports of dangerous sea level rise โfrom climate alarmistsโ might beย wrong.
Sherwood said of all the false claims, this was Abbottโsย โfunniest.โ
โA few photographs of the beach taken from his neighbourhood are a more accurate record of global sea-level than the global network of tide gauges and satellite altimeters!ย In a way, that says itย all.โ
Professor Andrew Pitman, director of the Australian Research Councilโs Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, said many of Abbottโs claims were misleading orย irrelevant.
Abbott claimed that because the climate had changed in the ancient past before humans, this meant that current changes could also beย natural.
Pitman said: โThis is misleading. The fact that climate changed in the past due to cause โAโ does not mean it can only change through causeย โA.’
โThe fact is that it is changing now due to increasing CO2 on very rapid time scales. When climate changed in the past more slowly, it still caused mass extinctions. Not a happyย thought!โ
Pitman said Abbottโs suggestion that rising CO2 levels were helping plant growth was alsoย misleading.
He said while in some cases in controlled greenhouse environments โyou seem to get bigger plantsโ with raised CO2 levels, โthe nutrients in the plantย decline.โ
โSo you do not actually get more food,โ said Pitman, โyou just get a bigger plant, so itโs a myth that higher CO2 helps lift yields, in the sense that those yields reflectย food.โ
Abbott spent time in his lecture attempting to undermine the scientific method on climate change, saying people who claimed the science was โsettledโ were part of the โthoughtย police.โ
Henley added: โBy implication, Abbott superstitiously questions the foundations of science, and in doing so, he questions the same scientific method which discovered wifi and penicillin, and proved the earth was notย flat.โ
Australia and the Global Warming Policyย Foundation
Abbott is the third Australian to have delivered the GWPFโs annualย lecture.
In 2013, another former Liberal Prime Minister, John Howard, delivered the annual lecture, declaring himself an โagnostic on globalย warming.โ
In 2011, the then-Archbishop of Sydney, Cardinal George Pell, produced a speech packed with red-herrings and cherry-picked talking points.ย Climate scientists described Pellโs speech as โdreadful,โ โutter rubbish,โ and โflawed.โ Pell was an early mentor toย Abbott.
Australian-born hedge fund billionaire Michael Hintze was reportedly in the audience at Abbottโs lecture. Hintze, a major financial backer of the Conservative Party in the UK, was reportedly one of GWPFโs earliest financial backers.
Main image: Tony Abbott speaking in Afghanistan in 2013. Credit: Flickr/US Embassy Kabul Afghanistanย (CC BY–ND 2.0)
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