A coalition of vulnerable countries is pushing the global community to adopt a new 1.5 degree global warming target at the ongoing climate talks inย Paris.
The group of countries, known as the Climate Vulnerability Forum, argues current efforts to limit global temperature rise to two degrees Celsius is insufficient to protect many nations from the dangers of climate change. The group came to this conclusion, which was announced on the first day of the climate talks, after two years of expert review and diplomaticย consultations.
The groups said lives, rights and the prosperity of billions are at stake in the globally agreed temperatureย limit.
The two degree limit has been widely cited since the Stockholm Environment Institute released a major study on dangerous climate change in 1990. The limit did not become a formal target of global climate negotiations until 2010 with the signing of the Cancun Agreement.
For a more detailed backgrounder on the two degree target, read Carbon Briefโs โTwo Degrees: The History of Climate Changeโs Speed Limit.โ
Thoriq Ibrahim, Maldives minister of environment and energy, said the danger of exceeding a 1.5 degrees target is โespecially acute for theย Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS), a group of 44 low-lying island and coastal states from around theย world.โ
โAOSIS is of the view that the Paris agreement must be an ambitious, legally binding protocol capable of limiting warming to below 1.5 degrees Celsius,โ he said, adding โimmediate action is required before the treaty goes into effect in 2020 if we are to keep the window to 1.5 degreesย open.โย
Recently Cyclone Pam and Typhoon Maysak destroyed homes and killed dozens of people in Vanuatu, the Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Kiribati and in Micronesia, Ibrahimย said.
โWhatโs worse, scientists expect climate change to make weather events like these far worse in the Pacific and oceanic regions worldwide, unless bold action is takenย immediately.โ
โWarming has now reached 1C,โ the island nations said in a statement. โAt the same time, our islands are experiencing the impacts of an ongoing extremeย El Niรฑoย and the science is telling us that such events will occur twice as often over the 21st century if we do not act strongly and decisively. Additional magnitudes of warming will only increase the risk of such severe, pervasive and irreversibleย impacts.โ
On Monday the island nations along with the coalition of vulnerable countries pressed the global community and France, the host of this yearโs climate summit, for a binding treaty that limits warming to 1.5 degrees. The group also called for complete global decarbonization byย 2050.
French foreign minister Laurent Fabius indicated France is open to adjusting the agreement to accommodate the 1.5 degreeย target.
โThis agreement will need to be differentiated, fair, sustainable, dynamic, balanced and legally binding, and will need to ensure that โฆ the global temperature does not rise by 2C โ or even 1.5C โ compared to the pre-industrial era because of greenhouse gas emissions,โ Fabiusย said.
โEach of these terms refers to specific provisions on which we have been unable to conclude fully in theย past.โ
โWe refuse to be the sacrifice of the international community in Paris. Anything that takes our survival off the table here is a red line,โ Anwar Hossain Manju, Minister of Environment of Bangladesh, said onย Monday.
Ethiopia State Minister of Environment, Forest and Climate Change Kare Chawicha added, โclimate change does not affect us equally. Those countries which have contributed least to the problem are often affected the most. We are here to cooperate. We are here to shareย experiences.โ
Canadian Federal Green party leader Elizabeth May said she hopes Canada will join efforts to implement the 1.5 degreeย target.
โI think I t would be helpful for Canada to say the world can stabilize at 1.5 degrees,โ Mayย said.
Saleemul Huq, director of the International Centre for Climate and Development, told reporters Tuesday the difference between a temperature increase of 1.5 degrees and two degrees โis roughly 1.5 million people who will fall through the cracks and most of them will be in vulnerable and developingย countries.โ
Huq said a recent assessment of the two degrees target found it will fail to protect some people, countries andย ecosystems.
โThe 1.5 degree target is endorsed by 106 countries,โ Huq added. โThat makes them a majority of UNFCCC which is just over 150 countries. If this was a democracy they wouldย win.โ
โBut unfortunately these are not very powerful countries,โ heย said.
โThe pushback we get is that [the 1.5 degree target] isย unrealistic.โ
Huq added that current national climate commitments are projected to increase global temperatures by threeย degrees.
โIt will be difficult. But difficult is not impossible,โ Huqย said.
We believe there is sufficient technology and money. There is insufficient political will. We have 13 days to generate that politicalย will.โ
The Climate Action Network, a group representing more than 950 non-governmental organizations worldwide, welcomed the call for a strengthenedย target.
โIf our goal is not to secure the survival of whole countries, then what is it?โ the groupย stated.
โThis is a simple moral imperative that should unite usย all.โ
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