Matt โKing Coalโ Ridley was seriously concerned that his vested interests in open cast mining would cloud his judgement on climate science, the Tory peer confirmed in a remarkable interview.
The member of the House of Lords, famous author, and self-styled climate โlukewarmerโ also admits that he has not read widely on the science of global warming and is likely to be guilty of selectionย bias.
Ridley claims that he had originally believed climate scientists who claimed fossil fuels were causing dangerous climate change โ despite the fact he was at the time profiting from coalย mining.
This, he believes, is adequate proof that he is somehow immune from the influence that such direct vested interests may have had on his views. So now that he attacks climate science, his audience should trust that his rent from the coal industry is not a cause forย concern.
Climateย Threat
The zoologist set out how he had been convinced of the threat to the climate after the publication of Michael Mannโs iconic โhockey stickโ graph, which charts the extraordinary and unprecedented rise in global average temperatures in recentย decades.
But he has since been persuaded by the work of Ross McKitrick โ a researcher supported by an oil-funded neoliberal think tank โ his co-author Steve McIntyre, and free market contrarian Bjorn Lomborg, that the scientific community has conspired to inflate theย crisis.
The coal baron is today among the most influential British climate deniers. Rupert Murdoch, the owner of the countryโs most powerful media empire, has fallen under his influence. He is also on the academic council of Lord Lawsonโs Global Warming Policy Foundation.
Ridley told Russ Roberts of EconTalk that: โI would often go further and say, actually, thereโs pretty good evidence that the carbon dioxide emissions we are putting into the atmosphere as fossil fuels are in many ways improving the environment.โ
He then discussed his coalย interests.
Personalย Investments
โI took a lot of personal attacks. People attacked my motives. And itโs true that I have got personal investments in coal mining near my home; in fact, my family has been in it one way or another for a couple of hundredย years.โ
โSo, maybe I have a vested interest in carbon dioxide emissions. But Iโve always declared that. Iโve always made that veryย explicit.โ
The interview continued asย follows:
Roberts: โYou owned that coal when you were worried about globalย warming.โ
Ridley: โWell, exactly. Thatโsย right.โ
Roberts: โKind of gives youย aโฆโ
Ridley: โโฆItโs held me back. Iโve thought โ I better not, I must be being influenced by my own vested interests here, so Iโd better be careful. So, for a long time I hesitated before expressing my scepticism, for thatย reason.โ
โBut, anyway, I was attacked for that. But extraordinary attacks. I mean, really bizarre attacks would come at me. Very personal, veryย rudeโฆโ
โWhy do some of my colleagues in the House of Lords resort to impugning the quality of my PhD thesis, which was on the behaviour of birds 35 yearsย ago?โ
Moreover, Ridley went on to say that his own reading of climate science was inadequate: โBut I think the vast majority of people have not read deeply into climate science. And Iโve read quite deeply, but I wonโt claim that Iโve read deeply enough.โ
Selection Bias
He also admitted that he may be guilty of selection bias โ only internalising evidence that supports his pre-existing world view: โItโs because we all look at the evidence and see what we want to see, to some extent. And no doubt Iโm doing theย same.โ
Ridley also raised the possibility that he may be completely mistaken in claiming that climate change will not be dangerous in the next 100 years. โI might be wrong on that,โ he confirmed. โI might feel guilty in having that view in 50 yearsโ time, as the weather heats upย rapidly.โ
Interestingly, Ridley tried to play down his own influence on government. โI am a very, very low form of life politically,โ heย said.
โIn fact, judging by the exchange I had yesterday with a government minister in the House of Lords, I am probably not the flavour of the month with my own government at the moment. But thatโs anotherย matter.โ
He then repeated the meme which is being forced out by economists working for free market think tanks โ that capitalism will deliver so much prosperity that people will be able to afford to adapt to or ignore the ravishes of climateย change.
He said: โBut I think that every likelihood that the great grandchildren who will face one or two degrees of warming in the next century will actually be pretty wealthy people.โ
Neoliberalย View
These remarkable confessions of an under-read climate denier may have been the result of being interviewed by a publication that wholly supports his neoliberal worldย view.
Roberts, the host, set out how his own ideological adherence to free market capitalism had made him impervious to the results of climateย research.
He said: โI would call myself agnostic or sceptical about the climate change debate, partly for the reasons you mention: that a lot of the so-called cures strike me as very dangerous, raising the price of energy when a large part of the world is very poor strikes me as a very cruel thing toย do.โ
โAnd so, the uncertainty and the failure to predict accurately always suggested to me that they donโt, scientists donโt fully understand this. Even though, as you point out, Iโm certainly very ignorant โ you were talking about yourself, but Iโm very ignorant of theย details.โ
โIโve not read deeply, but I have a certain intuition from my knowledge of economics and how research is done, and when I see people repeatedly overestimating the impact of carbon dioxide I start to think, โHmmm. Why arenโt they starting to get more humble about their approach?โ They donโt. They seem to get more certain. And that causes me to beย sceptical.โ
Photo: Thinking Digital viaย Flickr
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