Ridley's Wall Street Journal Op-Ed Fixates on the Past and Ignores the Present to Try and Predict the Future

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This is a guest post by US-based environmental communications group, Climate Nexus.

Longtime climate contrarian and โ€œcoal baronโ€ Matt Ridleyย returns to the Wall Street Journalย to try to argue against data that show clean energy rapidly scaling up, and the science of climate change that links last year’s record heat and widespread extreme weather with carbonย pollution.

Ridley, whose family estate has a coal mine on it that will generate anย estimated ยฃ4 millionย (or $5.8 million) every year until 2020, does the Journal’s readers a grave disservice by distracting them from the coming energy disruption as renewables scale up, argues Climateย Nexus.

Ridley repeats unoriginal arguments, citing obvious benefits from the Industrial Revolution while dismissing the global consensus of the scientific community that carbon emissions are altering our climate, giving us record-breaking heat and contributing to extreme weather events likeย California’s droughtย and, through warmed waters and atmosphere, strengthens hurricanes and cyclones like the one that justย devastated Vanuatu.

Ridley’s love letter to fossil fuels is wrong on multiple counts, most notably theย following:

  • Renewable energy is only limited by technology used to capture it, while fossil fuels are innately limited by supply and extraction. Ridley’s presentation of renewables ignores the fact that technological advancement happens rapidly and due to breakthroughs and innovation, and scaling up happens in a non-linear and unpredictableย fashion.
  • The rapidly falling costs of clean energy have already begun to replace fossil fuels in bringing power to the poor. Claiming that fossil fuels are somehow required for development ignores the reality that developing countries use new technology to leapfrog the traditional technologyย path.
  • The existing climate science on the impacts and threat of climate change is tremendous, and still growing. By looking at only a small set of papers confined to a small period of time, Ridley ignores a much larger body of evidence showing that continued fossil fuel emissions are an urgent cause for concern.
    ย 

Falling Price, Soaringย Development

Renewables are falling in price, soaring in deployment and increasingly upsetting the traditional energy world and its financing.ย Renewable energy is constrained only by the technology, meaning that advancements happen much more quickly than Ridley gives them creditย for.

By focusing on the past, Ridley ignores the present, which is seeing massive investments in clean energy and rapid technologicalย advancement.

Leading firms like Google (who just made aย $300 million investmentย in solar) and Apple (who just spentย nearly $2 billionย to ensure its data centers run on clean energy) are investing heavily in clean energy, while the military is making use of renewables to reduce its operating costs andย keep troops safe.

If clean energy is good enough for some of the most profitable and forward-looking companies on the planet as well as reliable enough for the military, then they clearly deserve more credit than Ridley givesย them.

Ridley ignores the fact that innovations and scaling up are happening now. His assertions that they are too weak and inefficient to be a major player are analogous to someone claiming in the 1980s that computers are too weak and inefficient to beย widespread.

The Department of Energy has justย released a reportย finding that by 2050 wind power can be the largest provider of electricity in the nation, clearly contradicting Ridley’s unfoundedย assertions.

Ridley’s entire argument is undermined by the failure of the market to price theย burdens of pollution and climate changeย into theย cost of fossil fuels, a challenge integral to the rising calls for a price on carbon which have come from sources as disparate as theWorld Bankย andย BP.

Cleanย Energy

Clean energy is replacing fossil fuels in lifting developing nations out of poverty. Just as developing countries are adopting cell phones without ever laying down landlines, they are deployingย clean energy instead of fossil fuels.

In India, where a third of the country doesn’t have electricity, the tax onย coal has just doubled, with that money going to fund clean energy efforts to bring power to the poor. The fact that poor countries are developing renewables atย twice the paceย of rich ones gives lie to Ridley’s conclusion that the poor need fossil fuels toย prosper.

He also ignores the deep challenges pollution is causing in China and India, and how clean energy can avoid health impacts caused by dirty fossilย fuels.

Further evidence that development need not be inexorably linked to fossil fuels can be found in the International Energy Agency’sย recent announcementย that 2014 saw economic growth without a growth in the rate ofย emissions.

Ridley’s assertion that because fossil fuels provided the energy for development in the past means they should keep investing in fossil fuel infrastructure is like saying that developing countries should build punch-card computers for their technologicalย needs.

Severeย Consequences

Climate change is reason enough to end fossil fuel use as quickly as possible. A look at all the literature, and not just that selected byย oil-fundedย Pat Michaels as referenced by Ridley, shows that we are on track for severe consequences from unfetteredย emissions.

And Then There’s Physics hasย an entire postย dedicated to Ridley’s scientific mistakes. In short, long-term climate models have consistently supported the warming trend we’reย seeing.ย 

A recent studyย looked at 114 model simulations of the past 112 years found that, despite the continued insistence on focusing solely on the warming rate of the past 15 years, the models have accurately predicted the temperature increases overall, with some predictions that are occasionally too high but also occasionally tooย low.

By clinging to the slower rate of overall warming in the past 15 years, Ridley is ignoring theย massiveuptickย inย ocean temperaturesย and fails to acknowledge thatย nine of the ten hottest years everย have occurred sinceย 2002.

Sea level rise hasย accelerated, climate change has contributed to devastatingย extreme storms,ย heatwaves, and droughts (both in theย U.S.ย andย abroad), and Arctic sea ice isvanishing fast. Trends in Antarctic sea ice require aย bit more nuanceย to understand,ย but there is plentyย to beย concerned aboutย there,ย too.

Ridley cites an increase in green vegetation as a benefit of climate change, but this is misguided on several counts. First, high carbon dioxide levels have been found toย boost growth only temporarilyย before stunting plants. High carbon dioxide also results inย lower nutritional contentย inย crops.

The hypocrisy of an essay calling for greater reliance on fossil fuels while dismissing the overwhelming evidence and growing impacts of fossil-fuel driven climate change is astounding. Yet it is unsurprising, since it has been Ridley’s calling card forย years.

A version of this article originally appeared on the Huffington Post.

Photo: Climate Nexus via Huffingtonย Post

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