How the IPCC Appointed a Dynamic New Leader 20 Years Ago Against Growing Sceptic Opposition

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Our latest DeSmog UK epic history post looks at how the dynamic Professor Bob Watson (pictured) became chairman of the IPCC in 1997 amidst a groundswell of politicalย activity.

Michael Mannโ€™s submersion into climate research coincided with a global groundswell. In 1993, he set about trying to establish when the global temperatures had last risen so high or soย rapidly.

Two years later, in December 1995, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) completed its second major report and published it during the first weeks of the followingย year.

Bert Bolin, the IPCC chairman, used his foreword to express his increasing frustration at the allegations being flung at the IPCC by climate sceptics and to defend its laborious and painstaking processes, rather than setting out the findings and implications for governments around theย world.

IPCCย Defensive

The sceptics had already forced Bolin onto the defensive. โ€œThe reader may note that the IPCC is a fully intergovernmental, scientific-technical body,โ€ he explained.ย ย 

The IPCC was extremely cautious and, five years after its first report, would only record that the signal of global warming, amid the natural chaos of weather, was only justย emerging.

Despite no strong signal emerging from the climate science community, the late Professor Stephen Schneider, a Stanford University climatologist, well understood that the latest report was โ€œfraught with politicalย significanceโ€.

He believed that President Bill Clinton was about to announce that America would finally agree to binding emissionsย cuts.

Emissionย Targets

Tony Blair was elected Britainโ€™s prime minister in May 1997 and followed in Conservative John Majorโ€™s climate footsteps. During his first month in office, he flew to the G8 Summit of world leaders in Denver, as well as an environmental conference in New York, where he met Vice President Al Gore and used a keynote address to attack climateย polluters.

Referring to agreements made at the 1992 Rio Earth Summit, he said Britain was among only three countries to stabilise its carbonย emissions.

โ€œSome other countries cannot say the same, including some of the great industrialised nations,โ€ he said. โ€œTo them I say this: our targets will not be taken seriously by the poorer countries until the richer countries are meeting them. The biggest responsibilities falls on those countries with the biggestย emissions.โ€

Professor Bob Watson, a cheerful grey-bearded British atmospheric chemist, was made chairman of the IPCC inย 1997.

A Dynamicย Leader

Watson had impeccable scientific credentials, and, even more remarkably, combined these with a commanding and believable mediaย presence.

He had been chief scientist for the Office of Mission to Planet Earth at NASA before being hired by the president to advise at the Whiteย House.

He was described by the New York Times as an โ€œoutspoken advocate of the idea that human actions โ€“ mainly burning coal and oil โ€“ are contributing to global warming and must be changed to avert environmentalย upheavals.โ€

His clear scientific analysis and managerial aptitude ensured that the IPCC would resist the snipe fire from their scepticย adversaries.

The leaders of the two nations that had historically produced the most carbon emissions were poised to take radical action, while the scientific body that informed such action itself had a new, dynamicย leader.

Up next on the DeSmog UK epic history series, the war between the climate deniers and the IPCC heats up as they try to cast doubt over theย science.

@brendanmontague

Photo: AP via Creativeย Commons

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