Climate denier Lord Lawson claimed last night that any attempt to prevent catastrophic global warming is โunethicalโ because it would put the needs of future generations over those livingย today.
The former Tory chancellor, whose policies overheated the British economy in the 1980s leading to boom and bust, argued environmental risks should be ignored today because perpetual economic growth would mean future generations would always beย richer.
Lawson was supported by Andrew Lilico, an economist and chairman of the Institute of Economic Affairs Shadow Monetary Policy Committee, who said: โThe rich look after the environmentย best.โ
The comments were made during a sometimes heated debate hosted by Christians in Parliament titled โCan We Afford to Save the Planetโ at Portcullis House, across from the Palace of Westminster inย London.
The other speakers included Professor Michael Jacobs of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, Andy Lester of Christian conservation organisation Rocha UK, Bishop James Jones and Martin Harper of the RSPB.
Jacobs reminded the audience that humans have never lived in a world with warming of 3ยฐC degrees or higher, adding: โWe need to be very careful about saying we can just adapt to climate change.ย ย
โItโs morally unconscionable to put future generations at these risks,โ he said. โYes there will be costs nowโฆ but the real question is can we really afford not to doย it?โ
Costsย overestimated
Jacobs cited this weekโs report published by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) ย in pointing out that action today would cost just 0.06% of GDP perย year.
He also added that these estimations are โprobably overestimatedโ and that โcosts for this present generation [to tackle climate change] are much less than Lord Lawson would have youย believe.โ
Criticising the IPCC for โexaggeratingโ its predictions however, Lawson said that โitโs not only crazy to be on the path that conventional wisdom sets out but profoundlyย unethical.
โThis is because weโre asking people today to make sacrifices for those yet unborn who will be far better off than we areย today.โ
Both Lawson and Lilico argued that future generations will be better able to adapt to climate change because they will be richer. Lillico said that mitigation – cuts in fossil fuel that would hammer oil company profits – is a โbattered corpse of a horse that we should just stopย kicking.โ
Yet, many do not feel like they are getting any richer. Britain has been in or close to recession for the past six years and strong economic growth has so far eluded the UK, Europe and the rest of theย world.
While Lilico acknowledged that mitigation would lead to โslower emissionsโ he said this would mean slower growth and reduced GDP. Instead, by continuing to burn fossil fuels future generations will be richer and therefore better equipped to adapt to climate impacts heย argued.
These points however were quickly rebutted by the other panellists. Not acting now means responding to an even warmer world with more severe climate impacts theyย said.
Todayโs wealthy individuals โgot rich by externalising costs to the environmentโ said Bishop Jones in response toย Lilico.
โCan we afford to save the planet?โ he asked, โWithout a planet, we canโt afford anything. Earth is not a limitlessย larder.โ
Audience members also criticised Lilico and Lawsonโsย reasoning.
For example, Bob Ward, policy and communications director of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment wrote today in the New Statesman that the event showed further evidence of the โparallel universeโ the former Chancellor has created by turning science on its head in attempts to โwoo climate change โscepticsโ from the Conservatives and UKIP.โ
โDonโt assume wealth will allow us to buy our way out,โ said Jacobs. โIt [climate change] doesnโt end at the end of the century with three degrees, it goesย on.โ
According to the IPCC, without concerted action on carbon emissions, temperatures could increase by almost 5ยฐC above pre-industrial levels by the end of thisย century.
Climate change alreadyย happening
However it is not just future generations that will be affected many pointedย out.
Impacts are already being felt around the globe. The IPCC report for instance cites examples such as the ocean acidification, the melting of arctic ice and poorer crop yields in someย places.
At the same time across London at the Royal Court Theatre, climate scientist and chair of the London Climate Change Partnership, Chris Rapley was also discussing the IPCCย report.
Rapley took centre stage to discuss how and why a 2ยฐC global temperature increase could be avoided in a mesmerising and highly informative one manย show.
He spoke of his granddaughter and imagined the type of world she would exist in, inย 2071.
Speaking of his encouragement for her to become an engineer โ testimony to his great climate solution โ he said: โOur future lies with the engineers and the ongoing battle between new technology and economicย prosperity.โ
Echoing Rapley, RSPBโs Harper concluded that: โIt makes political and economic sense to act now. And it makes sense for our childrenโsย futures.โ
โBut for all of this to happen, of course, we may have to overcome our human flaws of carelessness, indifference and greed,โ he said. โIn many ways, this will be the greatest challenge our species will face over the next 25ย years.โ
Photo: Davidย Baird
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